My 2013 Grammy Predictions

The Grammy Awards are this weekend and to be prepared, I’ve created a list with my predictions as well as who I think should win in some of the key categories. Last year’s predictions were pretty good on my part however this year looks like it will be much more difficult because of the abundance of new artists so it’s hard to tell who will be favoured. Here goes:

ALBUM OF THE YEAR
Black Keys – El Camino
fun. – Some Nights
Mumford & Sons – Babel
Frank Ocean – channel ORANGE
Jack White – Blunderbuss

I’m going to start off by saying that I don’t think fun. will win any of the awards they’re nominated for. I say this because their nominations came to be such a surprise and while they had the hits and some acclaim in the last year, they haven’t surpassed what their fellow nominees have received in either so they may end up being a neutral vote. With that said, I think the album of the year is a toss up between Mumford & Sons or Frank Ocean. Mumford have gotten a lot of Grammy attention over the last couple of years and are as known as they are now arguably because of that attention, but Frank has critics and being the underdog on his side.
Will win: Frank Ocean
Should win: Frank Ocean

RECORD OF THE YEAR
Black Keys – Lonely Boy
Kelly Clarkson – Stronger
fun. & Janelle Monáe – We Are Young
Gotye & Kimbra – Somebody That I Used To Know
Frank Ocean – Thinkin’ About You
Taylor Swift – We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together

This is a difficult one because neither nominee is particularly favourited by the Grammys. Taylor performs at nearly every award show so she might have an edge except her song doesn’t feel to be the same calibre as Frank or Gotye’s. Kelly Clarkson seems to have been getting a lot of pre-Grammy favouritism as well. I could see Frank getting this one but I think Gotye will pull a Shawn Colvin.
Will win: Gotye & Kimbra
Should win: Gotye & Kimbra or Frank Ocean

SONG OF THE YEAR
Ed Sheeran – The A Team
Miguel – Adorn
Carly Rae Jepsen – Call Me Maybe
Kelly Clarkson – Stronger
fun. – We Are Young

All of the “song” awards are for the songwriter and many times, the songwriter isn’t the same as the artist. This year, all of the artists sing songs they wrote except for Kelly Clarkson. This is another toss-up and probably the most difficult category of the big 4 because these songs aren’t typical Song of the Year nominees. Ed Sheeran could surprise but Carly Rae Jepsen’s song is a well-written pop song. I don’t think there’s any wrong choice with this one.
Will win: Ed Sheeran
Should win: Ed Sheeran or Carly Rae Jepsen

BEST NEW ARTIST
Alabama Shakes
fun.
Hunter Hayes
Lumineers
Frank Ocean

This category isn’t always as easy to guess as it might seem. This year, however, I think Frank Ocean is the clear winner.
Will win: Frank Ocean
Should win: Frank Ocean

BEST POP SOLO PERFORMANCE
Adele – Set Fire To The Rain [Live]
Kelly Clarkson – Stronger (What Doesn’t Kill You)
Carly Rae Jepseon – Call Me Maybe
Katy Perry – Wide Awake
Rihanna – Where Have You Been

Despite her popularity and the Grammy love she’s received (Adele won two Grammys before Rolling In The Deep existed), she still seems like the odd one out here because her nomination is a live recording. Even so, she’s the most likely to win this.
Will win: Adele
Should win: Carly Rae Jepsen

BEST POP DUO/GROUP PERFORMANCE
Florence & The Machine – Shake It Out
Fun. featuring Janelle Monáe – We Are Young
Gotye featuring Kimbra – Somebody That I Used To Know
LMFAO – Sexy And I Know It
Maroon 5 & Wiz Khalifa – Payphone

Florence should win this one. However, Gotye & Kimbra might be the biggest competition for this category. I’m going to chance my prediction for Florence though.
Will win: Florence & The Machine
Should win: Florence & The Machine

BEST POP VOCAL ALBUM
Kelly Clarkson – Stronger
Florence & The Machine – Ceremonials
Fun. – Some Nights
Maroon 5 – Overexposed
Pink – The Truth About Love

Another category Florence should win and despite some strong competition, Ceremonials does seem like the clear frontrunner.
Will win: Florence & The Machine
Should win: Florence & The Machine

BEST DANCE RECORDING
Avicii – Levels
Calvin Harris featuring Ne-Yo – Let’s Go
Skrillex featuring Sirah – Bangarang
Swedish House Mafia featuring John Martin – Don’t You Worry Child
Al Walser – I Can’t Live Without You

Skrillix is the face of EDM and the likely winner here.
Will win: Skrillix
Should win: Swedish House Mafia

BEST ROCK PERFORMANCE
Alabama Shakes – Hold On
The Black Keys – Lonely Boy
Coldplay – Charlie Brown
Mumford & Sons – I Will Wait
Bruce Springsteen – We Take Care Of Our Own

The Grammys love Bruce but they also love Mumford & Sons and they used to love Coldplay. It could go either way but I think Bruce will take this one.
Will win: Bruce Springsteen
Should win: Bruce Springsteen

BEST ROCK SONG
Jack White – Freedom At 21
Mumford & Sons – I Will Wait
The Black Keys – Lonely Boy
Muse – Madness
Bruce Springsteen – We Take Care Of Our Own

A songwriters award, which makes me wonder whether Jack White is the serious competitor here for Bruce. If anyone other than Bruce gets this one, it’ll be Jack.
Will win: Bruce Springsteen
Should win: Bruce Springsteen

BEST ROCK ALBUM
The Black Keys – El Camino
Coldplay – Mylo Xyloto
Muse – The 2nd Law
Bruce Springsteen – Wrecking Ball
Jack White – Blunderbuss

Again, a toss-up between Bruce and Jack. I’m going to take a gamble and side my prediction with Jack for this one.
Will win: Jack White
Should win: Bruce Springsteen

BEST RAP/SUNG COLLABORATION
Flo Rida featuring Sia – Wild Ones
Jay-Z & Kanye West featuring Frank Ocean & The-Dream – No Church In The Wild
John Legend featuring Ludacris – Tonight (Best You Ever Had)
Nas featuring Amy Winehouse – Cherry Wine
Rihanna featuring Jay-Z – Talk That Talk

If it were me deciding this one, I’d give it to Nas and Amy. Flo Rida and Sia had a catchy song with Wild One and Jay-Z and Kanye’s collab with Frank is pretty memorable but Amy is almost haunting on the song with Nas.
Will win: Jay-Z & Kanye West
Should win: Nas & Amy Winehouse

BEST AMERICANA ALBUM
The Avett Brothers – The Carpenter
John Fullbright – From The Ground Up
The Lumineers – The Lumineers
Mumford & Sons – Babel
Bonnie Raitt – Slipstream

I admit I’ve only heard three of the five nominees in this category. But Bonnie Raitt is a favourite and an easy prediction.
Will win: Bonnie Raitt
Should win: Bonnie Raitt

BEST SCORE SOUNDTRACK FOR VISUAL MEDIA
The Adventures Of Tintin – The Secret Of The Unicorn – John Williams, composer
The Artist – Ludovic Bource, composer
The Dark Knight Rises – Hans Zimmer, composer
The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo – Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, composers
Hugo – Howard Shore, composer

I’ve never paid attention to this category before but having seen four of the five films in here, I thought it would be fun. I’m not quite sure what the standards are for this category but I do know that Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross won a few years back with their score for the Social Network. I particularly enjoyed the score for The Dark Knight Rises by Hans Zimmer but I think Trent & Atticus could pull it off again.
Will win: The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Should win: The Dark Knight Rises

BEST SONG WRITTEN FOR VISUAL MEDIA
Arcade Fire – Abraham’s Daughter (From The Hunger Games)
Birdy & Mumford & Sons – Learn Me Right (From Brave)
Katharine McPhee & Megan Hilty – Let Me Be Your Star (From Smash)
Jason Segel & Walter – Man Or Muppet (From The Muppets)
Taylor Swift featuring The Civil Wars – Safe & Sound (From The Hunger Games)

This is a songwriter’s award so the performer isn’t necessarily the songwriter. I think both of the contributions from the Hunger Games are particularly strong contenders but I could see the Brave song winning as well. I’d say it’s up between Birdy.Mumford & Sons and Arcade Fire.
Will win: Arcade Fire
Should win: Taylor Swift & The Civil Wars

Check back this Sunday as I’ll be liveblogging the Grammys and seeing how close I come to correctly predicting the winners.

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