MY 2017 GRAMMY PREDICTIONS

GrammyTomorrow night is Music’s Biggest Night™ as the Grammys take the stage with performances by many of the biggest names in pop music today including Adele, Bruno Mars, The Weeknd, Chance The Rapper, low-key everyone knows but yet to be officially confirmed Beyoncé, Lady Gaga with Metallica, and Katy Perry will perform her new single Chained To The Rhythm, plus other performers.

Prior to those performances, most of the awards will be given out in a separate ceremony tomorrow afternoon, save for a handful given out on the air. As in previous years (2016, 2015, etc), I will make my predictions on who will win in some key categories.

As in recent years, this year’s award results have the potential to be political, but now the stakes are much different with a new president, which may or may not have an impact on who the award winners are. In recent years, I expected Kendrick Lamar and Beyoncé to win key awards that ended up going to safer and, in most cases, predictable choices. With Formation having prime placement in the Record and Song categories, a win for that could be seen as a statement of acknowledgement from the voters, both for the song itself and what it represents, and also for seemingly avoiding awarding black artists and urban music in these categories by giving it to a track as bold as Formation is.

ALBUM OF THE YEAR
• Adele – 25
• Beyoncé – Lemonade
• Justin Bieber – Purpose
• Drake – Views
• Sturgill Simpson – A Sailor’s Guide To Earth

Like most categories where both are present, this is pretty well down to Adele and Beyoncé. I enjoy 25 more but Lemonade is more interesting and on that basis, I think it should win. 25 isn’t undeserving but it would be anticlimactic if it won this award – and it likely will.

Should Win: Beyoncé
Will Win: Adele


RECORD OF THE YEAR
• Adele – Hello
• Beyoncé – Formation
• Lukas Graham – 7 Years
• Rihanna featuring Drake – Work
• Twenty One Pilots – Stressed Out

If anything other than Formation and Hello nabs this, it’ll be an upset. Formation is more important but for many, it’s a challenging song because it isn’t a pop song.

Should Win: Beyoncé
Will Win: Adele


SONG OF THE YEAR
• Khalif Brown, Asheton Hogan, Beyoncé Knowles & Michael L. Williams II (Beyoncé) – Formation
• Adele Adkins & Greg Kurstin (Adele) – Hello
• Mike Posner (Mike Posner) – I Took A Pill In Abiza
• Justin Bieber, Benjamin Levin & Ed Sheeran (Justin Bieber) – Love Yourself
• Lukas Forchhammer, Stefan Forrest, Morten Pilegaard & Morten Ristorp (Lukas Graham) – 7 Years

Repeat of the last two, except now we have Bieber‘s Love Yourself in the equation. Ed Sheeran won this category last year with Thinking Out Loud and he’s become a Grammy favourite so thanks to his involvement, it’s definitely in the running. 7 Years shouldn’t be here but the odds are terribly against it anyway.

Should Win: Formation
Will Win: Hello


BEST NEW ARTIST
• Kelsea Ballerini
• The Chainsmokers
• Chance The Rapper
• Maren Morris
• Anderson .Paak

Two countries artists against two rap artists against an EDM artist. If we go by the assumption that within-genre competitions cancel each other out, the Chainsmokers got this one. I think Chance The Rapper might edge it out though.

Should Win: Chance The Rapper
Will Win: Chance The Rapper


BEST POP SOLO PERFORMANCE
• Adele – Hello
• Beyoncé – Hold Up
• Justin Bieber – Love Yourself
• Kelly Clarkson – Piece By Piece (Idol Version)
• Ariana Grande – Dangerous Woman

I would like to see Kelly win this one.

Should Win: Kelly Clarkson
Will Win: Adele


BEST POP DUO/GROUP PERFORMANCE
• The Chainsmokers featuring Halsey – Closer
• Lukas Graham – 7 Years
• Rihanna featuring Drake – Work
• Sia featuring Sean Paul – Cheap Thrills
• Twenty One Pilots – Stressed Out

Of this list, Closer is my favourite. I could see it going to Sia and Sean Paul or Twenty One Pilots.

Should Win: The Chainsmokers & Halsey
Will Win: Twenty One Pilots


BEST POP VOCAL ALBUM
• Adele – 25
• Justin Bieber – Purpose
• Ariana Grande – Dangerous Woman
• Demi Lovato – Confident
• Sia – This Is Acting

There’s only one option here.

Should Win: Adele
Will Win: Adele


BEST ROCK PERFORMANCE
• Alabama Shakes – Joe (Live From Austin City Limits)
• Beyoncé featuring Jack White – Don’t Hurt Yourself
• David Bowie – Blackstar
• Disturbed – The Sound Of Silence (Live On Conan)
• Twenty One Pilots – Heathens

This is becoming a strange category, likely due to the lack of reasonably known and reasonable decent rock music in recent years. I’m sure there’s plenty of solid rock songs to choose from but for some reason, this category chooses to pick two live recordings (one of which satisfies the Alabama Shakes requirement), a controversial Beyoncé selection (that I don’t really disagree with), and one of the few rock songs to actually get heard by a large audience. There’s only one correct pick and that’s Blackstar but they’ll get it wrong.

Should Win: David Bowie
Will Win: Twenty One Pilots


BEST RAP/SUNG PERFORMANCE
• Beyoncé featuring Kendrick Lamar – Freedom
• Drake – Hotline Bling
• D.R.A.M. featuring Lil Yachty – Broccoli
• Kanye West featuring Chance The Rapper, Kelly Price, Kirk Franklin & The-Dream – Ultralight Beam
• Kanye West featuring Rihanna – Famous

Freedom isn’t among my favourites from Lemonade but I think Kendrick deserves more Grammys.

Should Win: Beyoncé & Kendrick Lamar
Will Win: Drake


BEST ALTERNATIVE MUSIC ALBUM
• Bon Iver – 22, A Million
• David Bowie – Blackstar
• PJ Harvey – The Hope Six Demolition Project
• Iggy Pop – Post Pop Depression
• Radiohead – A Moon Shaped Pool

This is a hard category to guess because all of these artists are within reach of winning. I think Bowie might get it because.

Should Win: David Bowie
Will Win: David Bowie


BEST SONG WRITTEN FOR VISUAL MEDIA
• Max Martin, Shellback & Justin Timberlake (Justin Timberlake, Anna Kendrick, Gwen Stefani, James Corden, Zooey Deschanel, Walt Dohrn, Ron Funches, Caroline Hjelt, Aino Jawo, Christopher Mintz-Plasse & Kunal Nayyar) – Can’t Stop The Feeling!
• Tyler Joseph (Twenty One Pilots) – Heathens
• Oscar Holter, Max Martin, P!nk & Shellback (P!nk) – Just Like Fire
• Shamann Cooke, Sonny Moore & William Roberts (Skrillex & Rick Ross) – Purple Lamborghini
• Mikkel S. Eriksen, Sia Furler & Tor Erik Hermansen (Shakira) – Try Everything
• Peter Gabriel (Peter Gabriel) – The Veil

Judging by these nominations, songs for soundtracks have seen better days. Both Can’t Stop The Feeling! and Just Like Fire are too bland to win. It’ll likely go to Timberlake though.

Should Win: Heathens
Will Win: Can’t Stop The Feeling!


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